The Use Of Cluster Analysis To Assess The Demographic Potential Of Russian Regions

In recent years, Russia has been grappling with a serious economic crisis. The slowing pace of economic development is accompanied by adverse demographic trends. The purpose of our study is to assess the demographic potential of Russian regions and identifying groups that require the implementation of specific measures aimed at its development. We used hierarchical cluster analysis to model Russia’s demographic space and segment regions with comparable problems related to forming demographic potential. Clustering was based on the indicators describing the demographic potential at the macro-level (regional) and meso-level (family level). The analysis identified the groups of regions that have the best and the worst conditions for the development of demographic potential. We proposed a set of measures that would be most relevant to the needs of specific groups of regions and could directly drive the development and actualisation of demographic potential. The analysis showed the need to use multifactor classification in the demographics of countries that have a high level of regional differentiation. Modelling the demographic space on the basis of cluster analysis can be seen as an element of the system of supporting administrative decision-making and the development of effective demographic policy.